Via Financial Times

An overwhelming majority of American voters trust their state’s governor over Donald Trump to decide when to reopen businesses, according to a new poll for the Financial Times that signals mounting dissatisfaction with the president’s handling of the coronavirus crisis.

The monthly survey for the FT and the Peter G Peterson Foundation found that 71 per cent of likely voters trusted their state’s governor rather than Mr Trump to “make the right decision” on easing social distancing and restrictions on non-essential businesses.

It also found that 48 per cent believed Mr Trump’s policies had helped the economy, the lowest level since November, and only 34 per cent believe they are better off financially than they were when Mr Trump took office — also the lowest level since November.

Line charts showing 48% of voters now say they think Donald Trump's policies have hurt the economy -- the highest this year.

The findings of the latest FT-Peterson poll, conducted between April 23 and April 27, come amid tensions between the White House and several governors on the pace of lifting lockdown measures.

They also reinforce the mounting concern among Mr Trump’s political advisers about the threat the economic meltdown triggered by the lockdowns poses to the president’s re-election prospects.

The FT-Peterson poll showed that the partisan polarisation that has come to define the Trump presidency has persisted through the outbreak. While 90 per cent of Democrats and 78 per cent of independents trust their governor over Mr Trump, the president fared better with Republicans — though even among his own party, almost half (47 per cent) sided with their state’s leader.

Bar charts showing majority of Americans trust their state's governor over President Donald Trump to decide when to reopen businesses

Those political differences have extended to everyday responses to the outbreak. While 60 per cent of Americans said they had worn a face mask to curb the spread of Covid-19, that included 68 per cent of Democrats and 53 per cent of Republicans. Similarly, 65 per cent said they were avoiding public places. But while 71 per cent of Democrats said they were doing so, only 59 per cent of Republicans were.

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The findings, which are part of the monthly FT-Peterson US Economic Monitor, underscore the challenges facing Mr Trump ahead of November’s presidential election, when he is likely to face former vice-president Joe Biden, the presumptive Democratic party nominee.

Dot plot showing Democrats are more likely than Republicans to say they've changed their behaviour by wearing face masks, avoiding public places, etc. since the coronavirus pandemic

Before the coronavirus crisis, Mr Trump had staked his re-election bid on a strong economy. But the spread of Covid-19 has knocked US businesses and households, with more than 30m Americans filing claims for unemployment since the start of lockdowns. Sixty-nine per cent of people polled for the FT said their family’s income had been reduced during the coronavirus pandemic.

Last month, 51 per cent of likely voters said the president’s policies had helped the economy, equalling the best result for Mr Trump since the FT and Peterson began surveying voters last year. Fifty-one per cent of voters also said in December that the president had helped the economy.

The US Congress has passed almost $3tn in economic stimulus measures intended to ease the burden for many Americans but demand for federal loan schemes, such as the Paycheck Protection Program for small businesses, has outstripped supply. Lawmakers from both parties have argued that one-off $1,200 “economic impact payments” for adults earning up to $75,000 a year would not go far enough to support struggling families.

Slope chart showing a rising percentage of Americans saying they have had or have had have known someone with Covid-19 between March and April. 40% of Americans in the Northeast region say they have had or know someone with coronavirus.

The White House has nevertheless insisted the US economy will bounce back before the end of the year. Mike Pence, vice-president, told Fox News on Sunday: “I have no doubt that the second half of this year we’re going to see an American comeback,” adding that 2021 would be “one of the best years in the history of our economy”.

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But the FT-Peterson poll found the majority of Americans think it will take longer than a year for the US economy to rebound, with 56 per cent of likely voters saying it will take a year or more for the economy to “fully recover”. Twenty-nine per cent of likely voters said a recovery would take between one and two years; 18 per cent said between two and five years; another 9 per cent said it would take five years or longer.

Chart showing that Republicans are more likely than Democrats to say they think the economy will fully recover from the impact of coronavirus in the next year

The FT-Peterson Poll was conducted online by Global Strategy Group, a Democratic polling company, and North Star Opinion Research, a Republican group. It reflects the opinions of 1,000 likely voters nationwide, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

The Peterson Foundation is a non-partisan, non-profit organisation focused on America’s fiscal challenges.