• Florida reports another record jump
  • US reports another record daily jump with 53k+ cases
  • Deaths continue to decline
  • Midwest now seeing cases trend higher
  • Northeast now only region in US where cases are still declining
  • Catalonia places 200k on travel restrictions
  • Tokyo asks residents not to leave the city
  • Russia cases continue to trend lower
  • India reports another daily jump
  • Brazil case total tops 1.5 million

* * *

Update (1125ET): Arizona’s recent efforts to close down parts of its economy to slow the spread of the virus are clearly paying off, as the number of cases reported on Saturday was well below the state’s 7-day average. The state reported 2,695 (+2.9%) new cases, bringing the statewide total to 94,553, while reporting another 17 deaths. To put today’s numbers in context, the average daily increase over the past week has been 4.4%.

Saturday’s numbers (reported, as always, with a 24-hour delay) brought the statewide positivity rate to just 10.7% as testing capacity increases in Arizona, like it is across the US.

The rate of new patient arrivals has slowed, but hospitalizations continue to rise, with more than 5,000 as of Saturday…

…while Hospital capacity continues to decline.

* * *

Update (1040ET): As expected, Florida reported yet another record jump in new COVID-19 cases as testing also hit new record highs amid a pre-Holiday Weekend rush.


That’s its first record jump since Thursday.

Here are the daily totals from the last ten days:

  • June 21: 2,926
  • June 22: 3,286
  • June 23: 5,508
  • June 24: 5,004
  • June 25: 8,942
  • June 26: 9,585
  • June 27: 8,530
  • June 28: 5,266
  • June 29: 6,093
  • June 30: 6,563
  • July 1: 10,109
  • July 2: 9,488
  • July 3: 11,458

According to the daily report from the Department of Health, 85,086 test results were received from labs on July 3, the largest daily total yet.

Another 18 Florida residents died on Friday, according to the state.

Friday marked the 11th-straight day where the number of newly reported coronavirus cases surpassed 5,000.

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Health experts have said that a 5% positivity rate or lower is recommended to begin reopening, according to WTSP, a Tampa-area TV station. The 7-day average positivity rate is roughly 13%.

* * *

As President Trump prepares to celebrate the 4th at Mount Rushmore in a move that his critics will inevitably decry (with some justification) as another mistaken play to the base at a time when he should be focused on courting the moderates he needs to win a second term in November.

Some have suggested that Trump secretly doesn’t want to win a second term, and would prefer to move back into Trump Tower (with round-the-clock secret service protection for life, with the taxpayer’s footing the bill) than spend another 4 years in DC. at any rate, the US reported another record jump in new coronavirus cases, likely a result of a surge in new tests, with the US running more than 700k tests in a single day for the first time since the pandemic began.

Globally, the world is reporting more cases per day than it ever has, with the world reporting about 180k yesterday, with another 200k projected for today (what would be another record high).

While the media will inevitably spin these figures in the worst possible light, it’s worth noting that, despite a handful of individual outliers reported over the past 7 days, deaths nationally have continued to trend lower, even as hospital capacity in Arizona and Texas is starting to look dangerously stretched.

On Friday, the US reported more than 53k cases, according to the Atlantic-sponsored COVID Tracking Project. That’s the 7th record total in 9 days.

Once again, the south and the west were the biggest contributors at the regional level, with record numbers seen from South Carolina to Georgia to Texas over the past few days.

One of the most discouraging trends over the past week is the midwest, where the trajectory of new cases has shifted from plateauing to moving decidedly higher. That means the Northeast is now the only region where daily case totals aren’t rising.

Note: The Pacific region, which includes Hawaii, Alaska, and several non-state island territories, hasn’t seen much of an uptick in new cases.

In the Midwest, states like Michigan, Ohio (one of the five worst-hit states in the country) and Missouri have been big contributors. Early on, Chicago saw one of the first outbreaks to take shape, and Illinois has also seen cases trend higher over the past couple of weeks. Yesterday, Florida officially passed NJ to become the fourth-worst-hit state in the US, judging by the number of cases.

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Fortunately, deaths across the US have continued to trend lower, as the median age of hospitalized has dropped sharply. In Florida’s Broward County, the median age has fallen to 33, down from 60+.

Looking toward Europe, the biggest news overnight is the decision by the Spanish government and local officials to place 200,000 people in Catalonia back on lockdown. Catalonia (situated in northeastern Spain and the home of a powerful separatist movement that tried and failed to secede from Spain a few years back) has placed a travel ban affecting 200,000 people near the town of Lleida. From 4 pm local time on Saturday, no one will be able to enter or leave the region. Regional health ministry data showed there were 3,706 cases in the Lleida region on Friday, up from 3,551 the previous day, a jump that’s simply too alarming for the government in Madrid to ignore, even as it struggles to help the country’s essential tourism industry salvage what’s left of the summer season.

The Catalonians aren’t the only ones implementing new travel restrictions: Tokyo Governor Yuriko Koike on Saturday urged residents of the Japanese capital not to travel beyond its borders as the city reported more than 100 new COVID-19 infections for a third day. The capital city reported 131 new cases Saturday.

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Cases in Tokyo have risen to a two-month high as young people have returned to nightlife spots, exhibiting a similar dynamic to the US.

As the UK pushes to reopen its battered economy, Chancellor the Exchequer Rishi Sunak and PM Boris Johnson have urged Britons to do their ‘patriotic’ duty’ and eat out.

The UK’s shutdown has been one of Europe’s longest and most fraught because of the country’s surprisingly high death toll of 44,131, which has left it with one of the highest mortality rates in the world (rivaling only Sweden in Europe).

The WHO continued to urge countries to take the outbreak more seriously, warning that more nations (including, of course, the US) need to “wake up” to the seriousness of this threat and “take control” of the pandemic.

India reported yet another record daily spike of 22,772 cases on Saturday, along with another 442 deaths, according to the Indian Ministry of Health. Total positive cases now stand at 648,315, with 18,655 of those having died from the virus.

As its daily case totals continue to decline, Russia reported 6,632 new cases of the virus on Saturday, raising the nationwide tally to 674,515. 168 Russians died, bringing the official death toll to 10,027, though some argue the total is actually much higher. As it continues to report daily infections at around the same level as the US, Brazil has seen its case total pass 1.5 million.

Circling back to the US, another major COVID-19 related headline is that Kimberly Guilfoyle, the girlfriend of Donald Trump Jr., has tested positive for COVID-19, further cementing the media narrative that everyone around the president has, or has already been infected with, the virus.

Via Zerohedge